太平洋学报  2018, Vol. 26 Issue (5): 82-89    DOI:
经济与社会 最新目录| 下期目录| 过刊浏览| 高级检索 |
我国政策性石油贷款与中俄能源合作
武汉大学
The PolicyBased Oil Loans and Sino-Russian Energy Cooperation in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative
Wuhan University

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摘要 我国现阶段通过多种途径来保障能源供给,政策性贷款下的能源合作正是近年来发展起来的典型代表。本文以政策性贷款为切入点,以“中俄政策性石油贷款”项目为代表,采用向量自回归的方法,深入分析了中俄石油合作的利益分配以及对两国经济发展的影响,结果显示:现阶段中俄石油政策性贷款合作对中国具有短期经济发展优势,而对俄罗斯则具有长期优势。同时建议对于中俄政策性能源贷款,我国应该扩展政策性贷款在对外能源合作中的运作范围、确定合理的期限、贷款利率,强化中俄之间的石油供应机制。对于政策性贷款与对外直接投资:我国应该运用政策性贷款来扩大对外直接投资的资金来源,加强政策性贷款项目和对外投资东道国金融机构的合作。
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关键词 政策性贷款中俄能源合作VAR模型    
Abstract
China ensures the supply of energy through various channels at present, and the energy cooperation via the policy-based loans is a typical representative of the development in recent years. This article employs the policy-based loans as the pivot, takes the “Sino-Russian policy-based oil loans” project as a typical case, and adopts the quantitative method of vector autoregression (VAR) to analyze the interests distribution of the Sino-Russian oil cooperation and the influence on their economic development. The results show that the cooperation of Sino-Russian  policy-based oil loans at this stage has a shortterm economic development advantage for China and a longterm advantage for Russia. At the same time, it is suggested that China should expand the operation scope of policy-based loans in foreign energy cooperation, stipulate reasonable limit time and reasonable loan interest rate, and strengthen the oil supply mechanism between China and Russia. For policy-based loans and outward foreign direct investment: China should use policybased loans to expand the sources of funds for outward foreign direct investment,  and strengthen coordination between policy-based loans and financial institutions in the host country.
Key wordspolicy-based loans    Sino-Russian energy cooperation    VAR model   
收稿日期: 2017-02-14     
基金资助:本文是2017年国家社科基金一般项目“中俄蒙经济走廊的建设与贸易互补、产业合作研究”(17BGJ022)的阶段性成果。
作者简介: 刁莉,女,黑龙江哈尔滨人,武汉大学经济与管理学院副教授、硕士生导师,主要研究方向:国别地区经济、世界经济;胡娟,女,湖北天门人,武汉大学经济与管理学院硕士研究生,主要研究方向:国际金融合作。
引用本文:   
刁莉、胡娟. 我国政策性石油贷款与中俄能源合作[J]. 太平洋学报, 2018, 26(5): 82-89. DIAO Li,HU Juan. The PolicyBased Oil Loans and Sino-Russian Energy Cooperation in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative. 太平洋学报, 2018, 26(5): 82-89.
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